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Punchestown Festival Friday Preview & Trends

Updated: 2923 Horse Racing

Friday's highlight is the Grade 1 Paddy Power Punchestown Champion Hurdle over two miles. The first of two Grade 1's on the card also features the Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle in our Punchestown Festival trends preview.

Punchestown Festival Friday Preview & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

൲ Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Punchestown Festival Friday Highlights

♔Friday's highlight is the Paddy Power Punchestown Champion Hurdle, a Grade 1 event over two miles worth 300,000 euros. Won in the past by top champions like Istabraq, Moscow Flyer, Hardy Eustace, Brave Inca, Punjabi, Solwhit, Faugheen and the brilliant four-time winner Hurricane Fly between 2010 and 2013.

🌼The second Grade 1 on Friday's card is the Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle over two miles four furlongs. This valuable Grade 1 event has also been won by Istabraq before going on to Champion Hurdle glory and fairly recent winners include top stars Vautour and Nichols Canyon.

🐈Also included in our Punchestown Festival trends preview for Friday is the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase, a 100,000 euro purse with Grade A status over two miles five furlongs.

🦩Hopefully, we can highlight some winners and you find the trends analysis useful. Good Luck!

ꦫThe EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase is a valuable race that features on the fourth day of the Punchestown Festival, this Grade A race will see the runner face a total of fifteen fences during their two miles and five-furlong trip in a race that is open to runners aged at least five.

When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 5:21.10 was set by Hgranca De Thaix in 2024, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Barry Connell and ridden by Michael O'Sullivan. The slowest winning time was set in 2005 when Pay It Forward𒀰 won in a time of 6:34.70, booked to ride was Robbie Power on this Mrs John Harrington trained runner.

♈These are the top three quickest-run EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals:

  • 2024 - Hgranca De Thaix (5:21.10)
  • 2015 - Blood Cotil (5:24.70)
  • 2010 - Chasing Cars (5:26.90)

How competitive is the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 146%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 128%𓆏 which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.82.

EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase Past Winners

♐Here are the past five winners of the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase:

YearHorseInfo
2024Hgranca De Thaix (FR)
7yo 10-8 16/1
Michael O'Sullivan
Barry Connell (IRE)
2023Kilcruit (IRE)
8yo 11-12 11/4F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022El Barra (FR)
8yo 10-9 8/1
Jack Foley (5lbs)
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021Asterion Forlonge (FR)
7yo 11-10 11/4F
B J Cooper
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019Real Steel (FR)
6yo 11-10 5/2F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)

Leading Trainers in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase

  • W P Mullins - 10 wins and 4 places from 42 runners (+18.25)
  • Mrs John Harrington - 5 wins and 2 places from 18 runners (+38.75)
  • Philip Hobbs - 1 win and 0 places from 3 runners (+0.75)

The leading trainer in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 10 times. Those 10 winners came from Alexander Taipan (2007), Scotsirish (2008), Equus Maximus (2009), Blood Cotil (2015), Avant Tout (2016), Kemboy (2018), Real Steel (2019), Asterion Forlonge (2021), El Barra (2022) & Kilcruit (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase is Mrs John Harrington (5 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 19 renewals in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase, Henry De Bromhead (0-20), Noel Meade (0-19) & Gordon Elliott♛ (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Leading Jockeys in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase

  • Paul Townend - 5 wins and 1 place from 11 rides (+18.50)
  • Mark Walsh - 1 win and 2 places from 13 rides (+0.00)
  • Jack Foley - 1 win and 0 places from 2 rides (+7.00)

The leading jockey in the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals is Paul Townend🔯 who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Blood Cotil (2015), Avant Tout (2016), Kemboy (2018), Real Steel (2019) & Kilcruit (2023).

EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positionsཧ (oldest to latest): ,5,3,1,9,1,PU,(1,2),F,(4,6),11,9,PU,1,1,1,1,3,1,(2,PU)

  • 19 / 19 (71%) - Ran in 9 - 22 races (Career)
  • 19 / 19 (78%) - Break of 11 - 159 days (Last Place)
  • 19 / 19 (78%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (180 Days)
  • 19 / 19 (80%) - Ran in 4 - 9 races (1 Year)
  • 19 / 19 (81%) - Fewer than 8 races (Season)
  • 19 / 19 (81%) - Ran in 3 - 7 races (180 Days)
  • 19 / 19 (81%) - Fewer than 9 races (Hcps)
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 95+ (Last 5)
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - Carried 149 - 166lbs (LTO)
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 19 (83%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2-3
  • 19 / 19 (83%) - Carried 154 - 168lbs (Last Win)
  • 19 / 19 (84%) - Had 4 - 12 placings (Career)
  • 19 / 19 (84%) - Beaten no more -25l (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 125+ (Last Win)

💙The feature race on day four of the festival is the , a Grade 1 race that is run over a trip of two miles in which nine hurdles will stand between the runners and being crowned champion, the race is open to runners who are aged four or older.

The runner which holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Hurricane Fly from W P Mullins under the guidance of R Walsh, won in a time of 4:14.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Hardy Eustace𓄧, trained by D T Hughes and ridden by Conor O'Dwyer set the quickest time of 3:44.00 in the 2004 renewal.

🐟These are the top three quickest-run Punchestown Champion Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Hardy Eustace (3:44.00)
  • 2011 - Hurricane Fly (3:49.60)
  • 2017 - Wicklow Brave (3:49.90)

How competitive is the Punchestown Champion Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2010 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Punchestown Champion Hurdle, the over-round has been 114%🐓 which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Punchestown Champion Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.08.

Punchestown Champion Hurdle Past Winners

✃Here are the past five winners of the Punchestown Champion Hurdle:

YearHorseInfo
2024State Man (FR)
7yo 11-12 2/7F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2023State Man (FR)
6yo 11-12 2/5F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo 11-5 1/5F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2021Honeysuckle (GB)
7yo 11-7 4/7F
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2019Buveur DAir (FR)
8yo 11-12 2/1F
Davy Russell
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Leading Trainers in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle

  • W P Mullins - 9 wins and 9 places from 38 runners (-11.36)
  • Mrs John Harrington - 3 wins and 2 places from 8 runners (+5.55)
  • Nicky Henderson - 2 wins and 3 places from 9 runners (-3.00)

The leading trainer in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 9 times. Those 9 winners came from Hurricane Fly (2010), Hurricane Fly (2011), Hurricane Fly (2012), Hurricane Fly (2013), Faugheen (2015), Vroum Vroum Mag (2016), Wicklow Brave (2017), State Man (2023) & State Man (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle are Mrs John Harrington (3 wins), Nicky Henderson (2 wins) & Henry De Bromhead (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle, Gordon Elliottꦿ has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Leading Jockeys in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle

  • Paul Townend - 3 wins and 3 places from 11 rides (-4.31)
  • Rachael Blackmore - 2 wins and 0 places from 3 rides (-0.23)
  • Mr P W Mullins - 1 win and 2 places from 5 rides (+8.00)

The leading jockey in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Hurricane Fly (2010), State Man (2023) & State Man (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle is Rachael Blackmore (2 wins).

Punchestown Champion Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions🅰 (oldest to latest): ,2,2,2,2,2,(1,3),6,1,1,1,1,1,1,7,F,(1,5),1,1,1,1

  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Beaten no more -14½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Not in a G3/Cl2/Cl4 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Not in a G2-3/Cl2 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Not on GS/GF/FM/STD (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Highest Won is not G2/LST/Cl2/Cl4
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 9 - 31 races (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 5 - 19 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 8 - 24 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 146+ (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Placed within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 2 - 12 races (Further)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 5 - 21 races (Hurdle)

൲The is the second Grade 1 on the fourth day of the Punchestown Festival, it is run after the Champion Hurdle. The race is open to novice hurdlers who are aged four or older, it is run over a trip of two miles and four furlongs where there are twelve hurdles to jump on their way to being crowned the champion novice hurdler.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:47.20 was set by Sadlers Wings in 2004, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Un Atoutꦜ won in a time of 5:30.50, booked to ride was Davy Russell on this W P Mullins trained runner.

🔴These are the top three quickest-run Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Sadlers Wings (4:47.20)
  • 2022 - State Man (4:48.80)
  • 2014 - Vautour (4:49.10)

How competitive is the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2019 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 117%꧂ which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.41.

Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle Past Winners

🌜Here are the past five winners of the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle:

YearHorseInfo
2024Ballyburn (IRE)
6yo 11-12 1/5F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2023Impaire Et Passe (FR)
5yo 11-12 1/3F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022State Man (FR)
5yo 11-10 11/10F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021Gaillard Du Mesnil (FR)
5yo 11-12 1/2F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019Reserve Tank (IRE)
5yo 11-10 13/2
Robbie Power
Colin Tizzard (GB)

Leading Trainers in the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle

  • W P Mullins - 11 wins and 7 places from 46 runners (-16.79)
  • Noel Meade - 1 win and 1 place from 9 runners (-7.10)
  • Gordon Elliott - 1 win and 1 place from 7 runners (+10.00)

The leading trainer in the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins⛦ who has won the race 11 times. Those 11 winners came from Sadlers Wings (2004), Glencove Marina (2007), Mikael DHaguenet (2009), Un Atout (2013), Vautour (2014), Nichols Canyon (2015), Bacardys (2017), Gaillard Du Mesnil (2021), State Man (2022), Impaire Et Passe (2023) & Ballyburn (2024).

Leading Jockeys in the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle

  • Paul Townend - 4 wins and 1 place from 9 rides (-2.87)
  • Mr P W Mullins - 1 win and 1 place from 6 rides (+5.00)
  • Jack Kennedy - 1 win and 0 places from 4 rides (+13.00)

The leading jockey in the Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townendꩵ who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Gaillard Du Mesnil (2021), State Man (2022), Impaire Et Passe (2023) & Ballyburn (2024).

Punchestown Champion Novice Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions☂ (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,(1,F),3,1,1,6,5,1,1,1,1,2,(5,PU),6,1,1,1,1

  • 20 / 20 (59%) - Break of 18 - 114 days (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Break of 17 - 96 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Off a break of 17 - 74 days
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 126+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 7 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 148 - 164lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - No more than +1yrs (Vs Min Age)

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Punchestown Festival Friday Highlights are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.
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