When you are trying to bet professionally, it is important to hedge your losses.No punter has a 100% record of winning bets. Because of this, it is important to have a bankroll management strategy.
In the case of the Fibonacci Betting System, your be🍌t size depends on your win an▨d loss streak. When you win, you decrease your bet size. When you lose, you increase your bet. In this article, we will learn how Fibonacci Betting works and if it is the right strategy for you.
What Is The Fibonacci Betting System?
The Fibonacci system is a negative progression betting system designed by Leonardo Pisano, also known as Fibonacci. It works so that with every losing bet you must increase your stake. The idea of this is that you are more likely to win larger amounts o💙n winning bets in comparison to the money you lose.
The strategy can be used for sports betting or for casino games such as blackjack or roulette and follows a naturally occurring mathematical sequence. Following the sequence allows you to take a more🥀 calculated, emotionless approach to your betting; which in turn cuts out the mistakes of betting on a whim.
Fibonacci Sequence Formula
The Fibonnacci Sequence formula has been known to humans for thousands of years. However, it is an intrꦿicate part of nature as well. You can find it in sea shells or flowers for example. It is also part of the Go💯lden Ratio,and is very significant for classical art, as well as modern design.
In the Fibonacci sequence, every new number equals the sum of the previous two numbers👍, so if we start with the number one, you will see this:
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…
As you can see, starting from the beginning of th𝔍e sequence, it is worked out like this:
-
1 + 1 = 2
-
1 + 2 = 3
-
2 + 3 = 5
-
5 + 3 = 8
-
8 + 5 = 13
-
etc
Fibonacci in Nature
While this calculation is very simple, you will find the sequence all over nature. From spiral galaxies to sunflower seeds, to📖 sea🌸 shells, most spiral shapes in nature are based on Fibonacci sequences.
The reason Nautilus shells have evolved this way is that the logarithmic spiral is the most efficient way to increase size propꦍortionately.
The Golden Ratio
The Fibonacci sequence is also used to calculate the Golden Ratio. The Golden Ratio being a number in the sequence divided by the previous number. This number always equa𓂃tes to approximately 1.618, also known as Phi. In architecture, this sequence is used to calculate the size of windows, doors, arches and building shapes.
Who was Fibonnaci?
was an Italian mathematician from the Republic of Pisa. Due to his mathematical discoveries, he was considered “the most talented Western mathematician of the Middle Ages”. Besides popularizing the use of Arabic numerals in Europe at a time when people still used Roman numerals, he also introduced what we now know as the Fibonacci sequence. Gamblers will forever remember him as the man who invented The Fibonacci Betting System.
The Fibonacci Betting System In Practice
As we have explained, the Fibonacci betting system is a negative progression system, which means that you increase your wager each time you lose a bet.
To use the system effectively, it is best to seek out bets at odds of even money. Evens bets give you roughly a 50 percent chance of winning 📖and will double your money if you win.
Now it’s time to choose your wager.
To keep t🧸hings simple, let’s imagine you🧸r wager is £1. All you have to do is follow the sequence. Let’s have a look at the sequence again:
-
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…
With ൲a stake of £1, starting 🤪at the beginning of the sequence, it would look like this:
-
£1, £ꦜ1, £2, £3, £5, £8, £13, £21, £34, £55, £89, £144…
𒐪 Every time you lose a bet,♐ move one number to the right.
Every t🌠ime you win a bet, move two numbers to the left.
If you haven’t moved up at least two nu🔥mbers in the sequence before winning, then simply start at the beg🔯inning again.
Example
Now let's look at🌠 another💟 example in more detail.
-
Bet £1 (one unit) and lose
-
Bet £1 (one unit) and lose
-
Bet £2 (two units) and lose
-
Bet £3 (three units) and lose
-
Bet £5 (five units) and lose
-
Bet £8 (eight units) and win
Following on from this, because you have won, you would now move two numbers to the left of the sequence, from eight units back ♕to three units.
-
Bet £3 (three units) and win
𓃲 Again, because you have won, you would move two numbers💮 back in the sequence, from three units back to one unit.
-
Bet £1 (one unit)
As each number in the Fibonacc🐟i sequence represents betting units, it remains ve𒈔ry simple, regardless of your stake.
Let’s say, for example, your wag💜er is £5, the sequence would now look something lౠike this:
ಌ £5, £5, £10, £15, £25, £40, £65, £105, £170, £275…
Pros and Cons of the Fibonacci System for Betting
The Fibonacci Betting system was designed to help you recuperate your losses. Of 💎course, a lot depends on your handicapping skills, the size of your bankroll and the size of your units.
The Pros
There are a number o💧f advantages to the Fibonacci betti✱ng system. These include:
-
Win your losses back: No matter how many times you lose a bet, providing you have t🅰he bankroll to place another stake, then you are eventually going to win all of your losses back.
-
Easy to follow: The system is very easy to ꦿfollow and requires very little thought process to play.
-
Consistent profits: Due to the nature of the system, you will consistently build up many small pꦇrofits the longer you play.
If you have a relative🥃ly large bankroll, with relatively small units, and you bet on odds of roughly 50% it could be a viable strategy.
The Cons
However, as with most systems, there are also disadvantages. There is one huge risk in particular which you will find in all negative progression betting systems, including as the Martingale system and the Progression d ’Alembert. That is that you could lose your entire bankroll on one loss streak.
If you are chasing your losses (and at some point things may become quite intense and scary when you have hit a losing streak) and you do not have the bankroll to back it up, you will have no way to win your money back.
For example, if your initial wager is £5 and you lose nine bets in a row, then you will have to stake £275 just to break even. If you were then to lose again, you would have to bet £445. If you do not have the money to continue to fend off the losing streak, then you will be hit with heavy losses.
The system is designed primarily for games of chance, where the outcome is around 50/50. That for games like Heads or Tails, or Red/Black betting in Roulette, where it remains a semi-viable strategy. It is much less relevant for sports bett✃ing in general.
Just like other Negative Progression Systems, it does not take into account the limitations of your bankroll. If you have reached the botto🌠m of your bankroll, you cannot increase your bets any furth๊er.
Comparing Fibonacci Betting to other Negative Progression Systems
The Fibonacci Betting System is similar to other betting systems, such as the Martingale, Labouchere and D ’Alembertsystems.
Martingale System
The Martingale Betting system is based on the notion that a gambler with in🦂finite wealth will eventually win when betting on games with the probability of approximately 50% (such as a coin ꦜtoss or betting on Red/Black in roulette.
To use the system, you simply double your bet after a loss. The id🦩ea is that eventually, you will win a bet, and as long as you keep doubling after a loss, your losses will be compensated by the size of your bets.
In theory, this system would let a gambler at least break even, provided he has an infinite bankroll. Of course, this does not take the house edge on most games into account.
Labouchere System
The Labouchere Betting System is also called the Split Martingale, the Cancellation System and American Progression. It is also a form of negative progression. It involves a sequence of three numbers.
Your Bets
Your bets will be the sum oꩵf the outer number♒s of the sequence. For example:
-
1 – 2 – 3
In this case, yo🍸u will bet 4 units, 1 + 3 = 4
If you lose
If you lose, you add a 🌟nu🍌mber to the sequence. For example:
-
1 – 2 – 3 – 4
In this case, your bet will be 1 + 4 = 5
If you lose again
-
1 – 2 – 3 – 4 – 5
In this case, your bet will be 1 + 4 = 6
If you win
If you win, you remove the outer numbers
-
1 – 2 – 3 – 4–5
In this case, your bet will be 2 + 4 = 6
Just like the Martingale system, this system works in theory. As long as you have an infinite bankroll and the house edge is zero, you should at least break even.
D ‘Alembert System
The D ‘Alembert Betting System is similar to the previous two. Here you simply start with betting one unit and raise your stake by one unit if you lose and decrease your stake by one unit if you win. In theory, this would ensure that you regain your losses, as long as you ha🅠ve an iꦑnfinite bankroll and the house edge is zero.
ThePuntersPage Final Say
The Fibonacci Betting System was designed for roulette. By increasing your bets when you lose, you shꦅould be able to win your money back. However, it does not take house edge into account, or the limitations of your bankroll.
When applied to sports betting, it is not as relevant. Where Fibonacci Betting should help you regain your losses by increasing bets, the formula assumes bets that double your money. Not all sports bets do that, as odds are usually not 50/50.
Though it can be a viable strategy in helping you choose how much to bet, how much you win or lose ultimately depends on you finding value in bets and choosing the right bets. There are betting methods that are much more sophisticated, such as the Kelly Criterion. If you want to know more about how much to bet on each wager, check the Kelly Criterion Calculator and read our article on Bankroll Management.