{"id":40514,"date":"2020-04-29T16:00:01","date_gmt":"2020-04-29T15:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/?p=40514"},"modified":"2024-11-15T14:36:29","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T14:36:29","slug":"expected-goals-explained","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/expected-goals-explained\/","title":{"rendered":"Expected Goals Explained &#8211; What Is xG?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    <strong>Expected Goals (xG)<\/strong> is a metric used to qualify and sum up chances in football. It is becoming increasingly popular, making its way to TV analysts\u2019 desks and being used more and more by Premier League clubs. In this article, we explain everything you need to know, including what xG is exactly, how to calculate it, and more!<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"jumplinks container\">\n  <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container p-2 \">\n    <span class=\"d-block mb-3 \"><b>Hot Topics<\/b> on this page:<\/span>\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"jumplinks__row justify-content-center\">\n                    <a href=\"#xg-explained\" class=\"btn jumplink jumplink-icon \">\n                    <span>Detailed breakdown of XG <\/span>\n        <\/a>\n                          <a href=\"#calculate-xg\" class=\"btn jumplink jumplink-icon \">\n                    <span>Calculating XG for football bets<\/span>\n        <\/a>\n                          <a href=\"#xg-betting\" class=\"btn jumplink jumplink-icon \">\n                    <span>Advantages of XG in sports betting<\/span>\n        <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"table-of-content table-of-content-sticky\" id=\"toc\" data-bs-toggle=\"collapse\" data-bs-target=\"#toc-content\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"toggle-toc\">\n  <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"table-of-content__inner\">\n      <button\n              class=\"table-of-content__toggler collapse-rotate-parent\">\n        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"table-of-content__toggler-title\">\n          <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"me-3 table-of-content-sticky__img\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--alt.f8ad3b.svg\" alt=\"Table of Contents Heading\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n          <span class=\"toc-heading\">Explore this page with our <b>Table of Contents<\/b><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"table-of-content__toggler-icon\">\n          <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"vertical-divider bg-gray-300\"><\/div>\n          <div   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11.1667L0.666687 13.25C0.666687 13.3881 0.72156 13.5206 0.819236 13.6183C0.916911 13.716 1.04939 13.7708 1.18752 13.7708H3.27085C3.40899 13.7708 3.54146 13.716 3.63914 13.6183C3.73681 13.5206 3.79169 13.3881 3.79169 13.25V11.1667C3.79169 11.0285 3.73681 10.8961 3.63914 10.7984C3.54146 10.7007 3.40899 10.6458 3.27085 10.6458ZM3.27085 0.229172H1.18752C1.04939 0.229172 0.916911 0.284045 0.819236 0.38172C0.72156 0.479395 0.666687 0.611872 0.666687 0.750005L0.666687 2.83334C0.666687 2.97147 0.72156 3.10395 0.819236 3.20162C0.916911 3.2993 1.04939 3.35417 1.18752 3.35417H3.27085C3.40899 3.35417 3.54146 3.2993 3.63914 3.20162C3.73681 3.10395 3.79169 2.97147 3.79169 2.83334V0.750005C3.79169 0.611872 3.73681 0.479395 3.63914 0.38172C3.54146 0.284045 3.40899 0.229172 3.27085 0.229172V0.229172ZM3.27085 5.43751H1.18752C1.04939 5.43751 0.916911 5.49238 0.819236 5.59005C0.72156 5.68773 0.666687 5.82021 0.666687 5.95834L0.666687 8.04167C0.666687 8.17981 0.72156 8.31228 0.819236 8.40996C0.916911 8.50763 1.04939 8.56251 1.18752 8.56251H3.27085C3.40899 8.56251 3.54146 8.50763 3.63914 8.40996C3.73681 8.31228 3.79169 8.17981 3.79169 8.04167V5.95834C3.79169 5.82021 3.73681 5.68773 3.63914 5.59005C3.54146 5.49238 3.40899 5.43751 3.27085 5.43751ZM16.8125 11.1667H6.39585C6.25772 11.1667 6.12524 11.2215 6.02757 11.3192C5.92989 11.4169 5.87502 11.5494 5.87502 11.6875V12.7292C5.87502 12.8673 5.92989 12.9998 6.02757 13.0975C6.12524 13.1951 6.25772 13.25 6.39585 13.25H16.8125C16.9507 13.25 17.0831 13.1951 17.1808 13.0975C17.2785 12.9998 17.3334 12.8673 17.3334 12.7292V11.6875C17.3334 11.5494 17.2785 11.4169 17.1808 11.3192C17.0831 11.2215 16.9507 11.1667 16.8125 11.1667ZM16.8125 0.750005H6.39585C6.25772 0.750005 6.12524 0.804879 6.02757 0.902554C5.92989 1.00023 5.87502 1.1327 5.87502 1.27084V2.31251C5.87502 2.45064 5.92989 2.58311 6.02757 2.68079C6.12524 2.77847 6.25772 2.83334 6.39585 2.83334H16.8125C16.9507 2.83334 17.0831 2.77847 17.1808 2.68079C17.2785 2.58311 17.3334 2.45064 17.3334 2.31251V1.27084C17.3334 1.1327 17.2785 1.00023 17.1808 0.902554C17.0831 0.804879 16.9507 0.750005 16.8125 0.750005V0.750005ZM16.8125 5.95834H6.39585C6.25772 5.95834 6.12524 6.01321 6.02757 6.11089C5.92989 6.20856 5.87502 6.34104 5.87502 6.47917V7.52084C5.87502 7.65897 5.92989 7.79145 6.02757 7.88912C6.12524 7.9868 6.25772 8.04167 6.39585 8.04167H16.8125C16.9507 8.04167 17.0831 7.9868 17.1808 7.88912C17.2785 7.79145 17.3334 7.65897 17.3334 7.52084V6.47917C17.3334 6.34104 17.2785 6.20856 17.1808 6.11089C17.0831 6.01321 16.9507 5.95834 16.8125 5.95834Z\" fill=\"#203342\"\/>\n            <\/svg>\n            <span class=\"toc-heading fw-bold text-uppercase\">ON THIS PAGE<\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"table-of-content__toggler-icon\">\n          <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"vertical-divider bg-gray-300\"><\/div>\n          <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"collapse-rotate-child h-36px d-flex align-items-center justify-content-center p-3 ms-5 transform-ease \" data-bs-toggle=\"collapse\" data-bs-target=\"#toc-content\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"toggle-toc\">\n            <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"13\" height=\"20\" viewBox=\"0 0 13 20\" fill=\"none\">\n              <g clip-path=\"url(#clip0_1450_9010)\">\n              <path d=\"M12.1328 5.88281C12.6211 5.39453 12.6211 4.60156 12.1328 4.11328C11.6445 3.625 10.8516 3.625 10.3633 4.11328L6.25 8.23047L2.13281 4.11719C1.64453 3.62891 0.851562 3.62891 0.363281 4.11719C-0.125 4.60547 -0.125 5.39844 0.363281 5.88672L4.48047 10L0.367187 14.1172C-0.121094 14.6055 -0.121094 15.3984 0.367187 15.8867C0.855469 16.375 1.64844 16.375 2.13672 15.8867L6.25 11.7695L10.3672 15.8828C10.8555 16.3711 11.6484 16.3711 12.1367 15.8828C12.625 15.3945 12.625 14.6016 12.1367 14.1133L8.01953 10L12.1328 5.88281Z\" fill=\"#203342\"\/>\n              <\/g>\n              <defs>\n              <clipPath id=\"clip0_1450_9010\">\n              <rect width=\"12.5\" height=\"20\" fill=\"white\"\/>\n              <\/clipPath>\n              <\/defs>\n              <\/svg>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/button>\n        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"horizontal-divider bg-gray-300 mx-2\"><\/div>\n        <ol class=\"toc-list list-unstyled\">\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">1<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#xg-explained\">What Is Expected Goals (xG)?<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">2<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#expected-goals-in-more-detail\">Expected Goals in More Detail<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">3<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#team-xg-versus-player-xg\">Team xG Versus Player xG<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">4<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#xg-betting\">Benefits of Expected Goals in Sports Betting<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">5<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#where-to-find-xg-football-stats\">Where To Find xG Football Stats<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">6<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#thepunterspage-final-say\">ThePuntersPage Final Say<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                      <li class=\"toc-list__item\">\n                            <span class=\"toc-list__number\">7<\/span>\n              <a class=\"toc-list__text jumplink\" href=\"#expected-goals-faqs\">Expected Goals FAQs<\/a>\n            <\/li>\n                  <\/ol>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"table-of-content__inner table-of-content-sticky__inner border-orange-swv-400 tocslide\" id=\"tocsticky\"  data-bs-toggle=\"collapse\" data-bs-target=\"#toc-content\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"toggle-toc\">\n  <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"toc-icon\">\n    <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"18\" height=\"14\" viewBox=\"0 0 18 14\" fill=\"none\">\n      <path d=\"M3.27085 10.6458H1.18752C1.04939 10.6458 0.916911 10.7007 0.819236 10.7984C0.72156 10.8961 0.666687 11.0285 0.666687 11.1667L0.666687 13.25C0.666687 13.3881 0.72156 13.5206 0.819236 13.6183C0.916911 13.716 1.04939 13.7708 1.18752 13.7708H3.27085C3.40899 13.7708 3.54146 13.716 3.63914 13.6183C3.73681 13.5206 3.79169 13.3881 3.79169 13.25V11.1667C3.79169 11.0285 3.73681 10.8961 3.63914 10.7984C3.54146 10.7007 3.40899 10.6458 3.27085 10.6458ZM3.27085 0.229172H1.18752C1.04939 0.229172 0.916911 0.284045 0.819236 0.38172C0.72156 0.479395 0.666687 0.611872 0.666687 0.750005L0.666687 2.83334C0.666687 2.97147 0.72156 3.10395 0.819236 3.20162C0.916911 3.2993 1.04939 3.35417 1.18752 3.35417H3.27085C3.40899 3.35417 3.54146 3.2993 3.63914 3.20162C3.73681 3.10395 3.79169 2.97147 3.79169 2.83334V0.750005C3.79169 0.611872 3.73681 0.479395 3.63914 0.38172C3.54146 0.284045 3.40899 0.229172 3.27085 0.229172V0.229172ZM3.27085 5.43751H1.18752C1.04939 5.43751 0.916911 5.49238 0.819236 5.59005C0.72156 5.68773 0.666687 5.82021 0.666687 5.95834L0.666687 8.04167C0.666687 8.17981 0.72156 8.31228 0.819236 8.40996C0.916911 8.50763 1.04939 8.56251 1.18752 8.56251H3.27085C3.40899 8.56251 3.54146 8.50763 3.63914 8.40996C3.73681 8.31228 3.79169 8.17981 3.79169 8.04167V5.95834C3.79169 5.82021 3.73681 5.68773 3.63914 5.59005C3.54146 5.49238 3.40899 5.43751 3.27085 5.43751ZM16.8125 11.1667H6.39585C6.25772 11.1667 6.12524 11.2215 6.02757 11.3192C5.92989 11.4169 5.87502 11.5494 5.87502 11.6875V12.7292C5.87502 12.8673 5.92989 12.9998 6.02757 13.0975C6.12524 13.1951 6.25772 13.25 6.39585 13.25H16.8125C16.9507 13.25 17.0831 13.1951 17.1808 13.0975C17.2785 12.9998 17.3334 12.8673 17.3334 12.7292V11.6875C17.3334 11.5494 17.2785 11.4169 17.1808 11.3192C17.0831 11.2215 16.9507 11.1667 16.8125 11.1667ZM16.8125 0.750005H6.39585C6.25772 0.750005 6.12524 0.804879 6.02757 0.902554C5.92989 1.00023 5.87502 1.1327 5.87502 1.27084V2.31251C5.87502 2.45064 5.92989 2.58311 6.02757 2.68079C6.12524 2.77847 6.25772 2.83334 6.39585 2.83334H16.8125C16.9507 2.83334 17.0831 2.77847 17.1808 2.68079C17.2785 2.58311 17.3334 2.45064 17.3334 2.31251V1.27084C17.3334 1.1327 17.2785 1.00023 17.1808 0.902554C17.0831 0.804879 16.9507 0.750005 16.8125 0.750005V0.750005ZM16.8125 5.95834H6.39585C6.25772 5.95834 6.12524 6.01321 6.02757 6.11089C5.92989 6.20856 5.87502 6.34104 5.87502 6.47917V7.52084C5.87502 7.65897 5.92989 7.79145 6.02757 7.88912C6.12524 7.9868 6.25772 8.04167 6.39585 8.04167H16.8125C16.9507 8.04167 17.0831 7.9868 17.1808 7.88912C17.2785 7.79145 17.3334 7.65897 17.3334 7.52084V6.47917C17.3334 6.34104 17.2785 6.20856 17.1808 6.11089C17.0831 6.01321 16.9507 5.95834 16.8125 5.95834Z\" fill=\"#203342\"\/>\n      <\/svg>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class='links' id=\"toc-list\">\n    <a href=\"#\">ON THIS PAGE<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"modal-backdrop\" class=\"modal-backdrop fade show d-none\"><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"xg-explained\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >What Is Expected Goals (xG)?<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    \u2018Expected Goals\u2019 (xG) is a measure &#8211; usually expressed as a number between 0 and 1 &#8211; on <strong>whether a given shot will result in a goal. <\/strong>By taking into account a range of factors and historical data, it allows us to identify <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/over-2-5-match-goals-stats\/\">how many goals<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;a player or team&nbsp;<em>should<\/em>&nbsp;have scored based on the quality of chances they had during a game.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    <strong>Advanced Metrics<\/strong> (the term used in relation to the analysis of sports to measure in-game productivity and efficiency) are already utilised within many sports around the world \u2013 most notably baseball, basketball and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/nfl-betting-guide\/\">American football<\/a><\/strong>. Now, they are making their way into mainstream football in the form of Expected Goals.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    For a visual explanation of expected goals you can watch this brilliant video by the awesome guys at\u00a0<strong>Tifo Football:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container m-auto\" style=\"max-width: 600px\"><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><\/iframe><\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n<h2 id=\"expected-goals-in-more-detail\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >Expected Goals in More Detail<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    An xG of 1 is the highest value a single shot can be, which implies that a player has a 100% chance of scoring. The higher the value of the xG, the more likely the player is to convert the opportunity.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    The use of <strong>npxG (Non-Penalty Expected Goals) <\/strong>is particularly useful as it provides a more accurate analysis. Since penalties have an&nbsp;<strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>of 0.76, they can significantly distort both a player\u2019s and team\u2019s expected goals. Since the penalties may not have been earned or deserved, they can provide an inaccurate look to the data. Reading further detail on <a href=\"https:\/\/penaltykickstat.wordpress.com\/2016\/03\/12\/expg-expected-penalty-goals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Expected Penalty Goals (xPG)<\/strong><\/a> will also give you a clearer idea of how you can work out the xPG for each penalty in a game.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Prior to expected goals, statistics such as \u2018Total Shots' and specifically \u2018Shots On Target' were used when analysing a match, and similarly to a final scoreline, they can be deceptive when considering that a shot with an <strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>of 0.13 classed as the same as a shot that has an&nbsp;<strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>of 0.83.<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-wis-blocks-infobox-block container\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"infobox bg-white border border-success p-0 rounded-4 d-flex flex-column\">\n                <p class=\"m-0 p-info fs-sm-16\"><strong>For example,<\/strong> let's imagine that Team A took a total of 17 shots during a game while Team B only took 8. From these stats, we would be under the impression that Team A deserved to win. However, if we looked at the expected goals data, we would see that Team A had an&nbsp;<strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>of 1.34 from the game while Team B had an&nbsp;<strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>of 2.18.<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    One popular criticism of the data is that current models do not take into consideration the talent levels of:<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-block\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n        <ul class=\"list-unstyled teal-bullet\">\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--teal-bullet.c6326b.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>The player shooting<\/strong><\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--teal-bullet.c6326b.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>The goalkeeper in goal<\/strong><\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    This is something that will obviously influence the&nbsp;<strong>xG&nbsp;<\/strong>value when it is implemented and is therefore something to keep in mind.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"calculate-xg\">\n        How Is Expected Goals (xG) Calculated in Football?\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"mb-4\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1172\" height=\"656\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Explained.png\" alt=\"Expected Goals (xG) Explained\" class=\"wp-image-40860\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Explained.png 1172w, https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Explained-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Explained-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Explained-1024x573.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1172px) 100vw, 1172px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    There are a range of different models used to measure expected goals, ranging from the simple to the complex. For example,&nbsp;<strong>Opta<\/strong>, the world\u2019s leading supplier of sports data, analysed over 300,000 shots to help create their model.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?time_continue=29&v=w7zPZsLGK18&feature=emb_title\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Opta's Duncan Alexander<\/a> <\/strong>describes xG as \u201ca measure of chance quality\u201d. The variables that the model considers when calculating xG include:<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-block\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n        <ul class=\"list-unstyled chevron\">\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Distance from goal<\/strong> \u2013 Generally, the closer you are, the higher the xG.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Angle of the shot<\/strong> \u2013 Overall, the more acute the angle, the lower the xG.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Shooting part<\/strong> \u2013 Was the shot from a strong foot, weak foot, or a header?<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Shot type <\/strong>\u2013 Was it a volley, tap in, or an overhead kick?<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Passage of play<\/strong> \u2013 Was it from open-play or from a set piece?<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Chance creation<\/strong> \u2013 Did the opportunity come from a cross, a through ball, etc?<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>The shot<\/strong> \u2013 Was it from a rebound? did it come after beating an opponent etc?<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Having said that, earlier this year, <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/eu\/2022\/04\/evolving-expected-goals-xg\/\"><strong>The Analyst<\/strong><\/a> wrote an article suggesting they have further evolved their xG model to improve accuracy. More factors are now being taken into account when calculating xG. These are:<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-block\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n        <ul class=\"list-unstyled chevron\">\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p>The <strong>amount of pressure<\/strong> the shooter is under from opposition players<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p>The <strong>positioning of the goalkeeper<\/strong> (provides context on the shot distance and angle)<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p>More <strong>contextual features<\/strong> such as whether the shot was first-time, a rebound, etc<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Further evolutions of the xG model are expected as technology continues to develop.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    While these provide a good standard for expected goals analysis, some of the more complex models also take into consideration factors such as the defensive play of opponents. Defending is just as big of a factor in a game as attacking is, so by taking it into account, the data is likely to be more reliable.<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-wis-blocks-infobox-block container\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"infobox bg-white border border-success p-0 rounded-4 d-flex flex-column\">\n                <p class=\"m-0 p-info fs-sm-16\">xG figures are useful when working out the sustainability of short-term trends. For example, if a player or team typically scores more than their xG, some would argue that their current scoring rate isn\u2019t sustainable. However, there are some world-class finishers, like <strong>Tottenham\u2019s Son Heung-min<\/strong>, who typically buck xG trends and defy any sustainability cries.<br> <br>According to FBRef.com, Son has scored more than his xG in the past five full Premier League seasons. The South Korean scored 23 times last season despite notching an xG of just 16.4.<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Nevertheless, these expected figures are brilliant for assessing a team\u2019s underlying performance, irrespective of the goals they actually score and concede.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"team-xg-versus-player-xg\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >Team xG Versus Player xG<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    The increasing availability of data means there are now several terms you should be familiar with in the \u2018expected\u2019 realm. These terms can be separated by whether they account for an entire team, or an individual player.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"team-xg\">\n        Team xG\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-block\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n        <ul class=\"list-unstyled chevron\">\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Expected Goals For (xGf) &#8211; <\/strong>The number of goals a team is expected to have scored based on their quality of chances created.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Expected Goals Against (xGa) &#8211; <\/strong>The number of goals a team should have conceded based on quality of chances they surrender.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Expected Points (xPts) &#8211; <\/strong>The number of points a team is expected to have won in correlation with the expected goals data.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3 id=\"player-xg\">\n        Player xG\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-block\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"container\">\n        <ul class=\"list-unstyled chevron\">\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Expected Goals (xG) &#8211; <\/strong>The number of goals a player would be expected to score based on the quality of chances presented to him.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Non-Penalty Expected Goals (npxG) <\/strong>&#8211; The number of goals a player would be expected to score based on the quality of chances presented to him in open play. Penalties \u2013 which are valued at 0.76 xG each \u2013 are not taken into account.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                        <li class=\"list-item\">\n                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__wrapper\">\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__icon\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/themes\/thepunterspage\/public\/images\/list-icon--chevron.d97566.svg\" alt=\"List Icon\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"list-item__text\">\n                                                <p><strong>Expected Assists (xA) &#8211; <\/strong>The number of assists a player would be expected to register based on the quality of chances they create for teammates. The model measures the likelihood of whether a pass will turn into an assist. Like xG, several variables are considered when calculating xA. These are: &#8211; Type of pass (e.g., cross, non-cross, header, through ball, etc) &#8211; Pattern of play (e.g., corner, throw-in, open play, free-kick, etc) &#8211; Location of where the pass is received &#8211; Location of where the pass is made from &#8211; Distance of the pass<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/li>\n                    <\/ul>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Love all things football? Don't miss out on our detailed guide to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/best-football-betting-sites\/\"><strong>best football betting sites<\/strong><\/a>!<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"xg-betting\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >Benefits of Expected Goals in Sports Betting<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Expected goals data is advantageous to <a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/sport-betting-strategies\/\"><strong>sports bettors<\/strong><\/a>, as it provides information that a final score may not always reflect.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Football is generally a low-scoring sport and as such, goals come in a small commodity, meaning the final score of a game can be misleading.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    For example, you may see a team dominate a game in possession, territory and chances created, yet somehow still manage to lose. The basic goal data (final score) will, therefore, be unrepresentative of the game, and thus can't be used to form an opinion on future fixtures.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Nevertheless, what&nbsp;<em>can<\/em> be used for future purposes is the xG goals data that has come from the game. Using this data, we can remove any perils about the likelihood of finishing at both ends of the pitch and get a more reliable interpretation of a team\u2019s overall quality.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"short-term-profit\">\n        Short-Term Profit\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    With regards to upcoming matches, expected goals data can help us <strong>identify value.<\/strong> If a team has been over-performing or under-performing their xG metric, they are likely to soon return to their average.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    For example, let's imagine Team A has picked up only 1 point from their last three games despite comfortably beating all three of their opponents on the expected goals data. Due to this poor run, Team A are priced at greater odds to win their next fixture than what the data suggests. This would represent value.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    While xG data can and should only be used as a guideline, if it supports your research and you believe a price is deemed value, then it is likely to be a good bet.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"smarter-ante-post-predictions\">\n        Smarter Ante-Post Predictions\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    There is always money to be made in ante-post markets and by using a system rather than going on gut instinct, you are more likely to be successful.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    While you can use the expected goals data to predict upcoming matches, it can also be used for forecasts, such as table standings and golden boot standings.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    By using xG goals data both for and against from previous campaigns, we can create an alternative league table, which provides an informative display of how the season went and can help us predict future performance.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    However, when using this data for future predictions, it is important to remember that these statistics do not take into consideration factors such as transfers, injuries, form and new managers.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"where-to-find-xg-football-stats\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >Where To Find xG Football Stats<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    There are plenty of websites where you can find xG stats for almost any league you need. We recommend that you take a look at the most relevant sites we have compiled for <a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/stats\/football-stats\/\"><strong>UK punters<\/strong><\/a>, with Fbref.com and Understat.com being two of the most popular.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"expected-goals-xg-champions-league\">\n        Expected Goals xG Champions League\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    FBref has some of the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/fbref.com\/en\/comps\/8\/Champions-League-Stats\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">best xG stats for the Champions League.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"expected-goals-xg-english-premier-league\">\n        Expected Goals xG <strong>English Premier League<\/strong>\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Understat has <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/understat.com\/league\/EPL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">great xGstats for the EPL,<\/a> <\/strong>including individual players.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"expected-goals-xg-efl-championship\">\n        Expected Goals xG EFL Championship\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    We also recommend FBref for the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/fbref.com\/en\/comps\/10\/Championship-Stats\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">best xG stats for the EFL Championship.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"expected-goals-xg-league-one\">\n        Expected Goals xG League One\n    <\/h3>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Check out FBref for the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/fbref.com\/en\/comps\/15\/League-One-Stats\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">best xG stats for the EFL League One.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"thepunterspage-final-say\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  >ThePuntersPage Final Say<\/h2>\n    \n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    In essence, expected goals is a way of assigning a \u2018quality' value to every goal-scoring opportunity, based on the information available. There has been a serious amount of growth in the modelling of xG, and as time goes on, the more data that is collected, and the more reliable and accurate the metric will become.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    It is important to remember, however, that the analysis is not always 100% representative of a situation and there will therefore always be outliers.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"paragraph-block m-0 has-text-align-left container mx-auto\" >\n    Football fans, managers, and punters are still divided on the utility of the metric; however, expected goals is here to stay.<\/p>\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-wis-blocks-cta dflex pt-3\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-wis-blocks-cta__container container\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/goto\/bet365\/\"target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"featured-card--cta btn text-uppercase justify-content-center btn-cta btn-icon\">\n  <span class=\"word-a cta-ab\">\u26bd BET ON THESE STATS AT BET365<\/span>\n            <span class=\"word-b cta-ab\">VISIT BOOKIE<\/span>\n            <span class=\"word-c cta-ab\">SEE OFFER<\/span>\n<\/a>        <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"wp-block-wis-blocks-faqs\">\n    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/FAQPage\">\n        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-wrapper\">\n            <h2 id=\"expected-goals-faqs\" class=\"jump-link-heading\"  itemprop=\"name\" >Expected Goals FAQs<\/h2>\n            <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"mb-0 w-100\">\n                                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-accordion\">\n                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\">\n                        <input class=\"d-none\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"6741867b4ae15\" \/>\n                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"mb-2\">\n                            <label class=\"btn justify-content-start w-100 text-white px-3 py-3\"\n                                for=\"6741867b4ae15\">\n                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"text-start lh-base\" itemprop=\"name\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-item__question\"><strong>How is xG calculated?<\/strong><\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                <i class=\"icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\n                            <\/label>\n                            <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\">\n                                <span itemprop=\"text\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"fs-16 px-3 lh-base\">\n                                        <p class=\"faq-item__answer py-3\">xG uses metrics such as Distance From Goal, Angle of the Shot, Shooting Part, Passage of Play, and Chance Creation to calculate how likely a goal will be scored from any position of situation. Statisticians use an Expected Goals formula to create a score between 0 and 1. For example, a shot with 70% chance of creating a goal gets 0.7.<\/p>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/span>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-accordion\">\n                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\">\n                        <input class=\"d-none\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"6741867b4ae1b\" \/>\n                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"mb-2\">\n                            <label class=\"btn justify-content-start w-100 text-white px-3 py-3\"\n                                for=\"6741867b4ae1b\">\n                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"text-start lh-base\" itemprop=\"name\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-item__question\"><strong>What does expected goals mean on MOTD?<\/strong><\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                <i class=\"icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\n                            <\/label>\n                            <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\">\n                                <span itemprop=\"text\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"fs-16 px-3 lh-base\">\n                                        <p class=\"faq-item__answer py-3\">It is a metric that shows how likely a goal is from a shot in any position and situation. 0 means 0% chance, while 1 means 100% chance. Thus, it is a score between 0 and 1. For example, a shot with 34% chance to get a goals has expected goals of 0.34. <strong>These expected goals can be added up to show how many chances, a team or player got, and how valuable they were.<\/strong><\/p>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/span>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-accordion\">\n                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"mainEntity\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Question\">\n                        <input class=\"d-none\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"6741867b4ae1f\" \/>\n                        <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"mb-2\">\n                            <label class=\"btn justify-content-start w-100 text-white px-3 py-3\"\n                                for=\"6741867b4ae1f\">\n                                <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"text-start lh-base\" itemprop=\"name\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"faq-item__question\"><strong>What is xG and xA?<\/strong><\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                <i class=\"icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\n                            <\/label>\n                            <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    itemprop=\"acceptedAnswer\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/Answer\">\n                                <span itemprop=\"text\">\n                                    <div   id="8gjjwhn640"    class=\"fs-16 px-3 lh-base\">\n                                        <p class=\"faq-item__answer py-3\">xG is the expected goals for a shot \u2013 in other words, how likely it is for a goal to result from a shot in a particular situation and position. You often see it as the sum of the expected goals for a player or team. xA is the total number of assists a player should have produced based on expected goals taken directly from their passes.<\/p>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/span>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Expected Goals (xG) is a metric used to qualify and sum up chances in football. It is becoming increasingly popular, making its way to TV analysts\u2019 desks and being used more and more by Premier League clubs. In this article, we explain everything you need to know, including what xG is exactly, how to calculate &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/expected-goals-explained\/\">Continued<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":77,"featured_media":80576,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[627],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Expected Goals (xG) Explained \u2022 Guide To xG Football Stats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u261e What is Expected Goals? How is xG calculated? How to apply it to sports betting? 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Learn this and more in our ultimate guide \u2705\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/expected-goals-explained\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"panalo55bet.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-04-29T15:00:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-15T14:36:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-Fb.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1172\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"656\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Matteo Ebejer\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/app\/uploads\/2018\/05\/Expected-Goals-xG-Twitter.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Teo21_97\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@thepunterspage\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Matteo Ebejer\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Expected Goals (xG) Explained \u2022 Guide To xG Football Stats","description":"\u261e What is Expected Goals? How is xG calculated? How to apply it to sports betting? Learn this and more in our ultimate guide \u2705","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/panalo55bet.com\/expected-goals-explained\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Expected Goals (xG) Explained \u2022 Guide To xG Football Stats","og_description":"\u261e What is Expected Goals? How is xG calculated? How to apply it to sports betting? 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